Como 0-2 Ascoli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 27 Jan 2024

Como
0-2 HT 0-0
Ascoli
📅27/01/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
26%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.64
Over 2.5
43%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.61
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
19%
4.46
6+ Goals
9%
23.45
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
2.29
1/2
5%
34.0
1/X
9%
15.5
X/1
20%
3.77
X/2
10%
9.21
X/X
11%
4.27
2/1
7%
27.5
2/2
11%
7.94
2/X
8%
16.45
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
53%
-7.5pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.1pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+6.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
57%
-0.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
43%
+0.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.6pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Como EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Ascoli EU Bookmakers 23%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / -8%
1.85/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.48
+15% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
368 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
24.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.0
22.7 Crosses 16.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Como
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Ascoli
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.57 xG 1.38
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
292 Passes 287
77% Pass Accuracy 76%
18 Box Touches 21
20 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 2
11.11.2023 Ascoli Ascoli 0-1 HT 0-1 Como Como İTB
22.04.2023 Como Como 1-1 HT 0-0 Ascoli Ascoli İTB
04.12.2022 Ascoli Ascoli 3-3 HT 1-2 Como Como İTB
13.02.2022 Ascoli Ascoli 1-1 HT 1-0 Como Como İTB
11.09.2021 Como Como 0-1 HT 0-0 Ascoli Ascoli İTB
20.02.2016 Ascoli Ascoli 1-0 HT 0-0 Como Como İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Como
0-2
AWAY Ascoli
0.51 xG 0.78
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 2
2 Corners 8
290 Passes 219
76% Pass Accuracy 67%
12 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 33
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Como vs Ascoli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ascoli beat Como 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Como at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Como had 53% of the ball to Ascoli's 47%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 0.51 to 0.78.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ascoli led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Como and 1.17 for Ascoli.

What was the final score of Como vs Ascoli?

Como 0-2 Ascoli in the Italy - Serie B on 27/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Como vs Ascoli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Como win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Como 46%, draw 28%, Ascoli 27%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Como) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Como) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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