Cremonese 1-1 FC Bari 1908 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Cup, 10 Aug 2024

Cremonese
1-1 HT 0-0
FC Bari 1908
📅10/08/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Italy - Cup – 2024/2025

Cremonese vs FC Bari 1908 Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
25%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.78
Over 2.5
53%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.85
No
46%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.04
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.85
6+ Goals
13%
16.95
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.85 — our 25% vs market 20.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
2.44
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X EV+ ✗
10%
13.6
X/1
11%
4.2
X/2
9%
8.62
X/X
10%
4.41
2/1
7%
25.5
2/2
10%
6.77
2/X
6%
14.35
Value flag · 1/X at 13.6 — our 10% vs market 4.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
50%
-1.4pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+2.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
52%
-5.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
48%
+5.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
50%
+4.2pp
46%
BTTS No
50%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Cremonese v FC Bari 1908 — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cremonese EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Bari 1908 EU Bookmakers 26%
+28% / +28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
2.54/1.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/0.81
+48% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / +81%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
353 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 76%
40.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
34.5 Crosses 25.0
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Cremonese vs FC Bari 1908 Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cremonese
1W-1D-4L
AWAY FC Bari 1908
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.47 xG 0.84
53% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
438 Passes 224
86% Pass Accuracy 71%
28 Box Touches 18
27 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
05.04.2024 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 1-2 HT 0-1 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
26.08.2023 Cremonese Cremonese 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
16.02.2018 Cremonese Cremonese 0-1 HT 0-0 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB
19.09.2017 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 1-0 HT 0-0 Cremonese Cremonese İTB
12.08.2017 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 2-1 HT 2-1 Cremonese Cremonese İTK
01.04.2006 Cremonese Cremonese 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 İTB

Cremonese 1-1 FC Bari 1908 — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cremonese
1-1
AWAY FC Bari 1908
0.75 xG 0.42
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
420 Passes 220
85% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 7
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cremonese vs FC Bari 1908
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cremonese and FC Bari 1908 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Cremonese at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Cremonese had 63% of the ball to FC Bari 1908's 37%, shots finished 13-10, expected goals 0.75 to 0.42.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Bari 1908 led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cremonese and 1.17 for FC Bari 1908.

What was the final score of Cremonese vs FC Bari 1908?

Cremonese 1-1 FC Bari 1908 in the Italy - Cup on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cremonese vs FC Bari 1908?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cremonese win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Cremonese 48%, draw 27%, FC Bari 1908 25%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Cremonese), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cremonese) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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