Napoli 0-0 Modena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Cup, 10 Aug 2024

Napoli
0-0 HT 0-0
Modena
📅10/08/2024 · 🕒22:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 4-0 ✗ 2nd Score 3-0 ✗
Italy - Cup – 2024/2025

Napoli vs Modena Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.3
Draw
22%
4.95
Away
22%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.38
Over 2.5
58%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.9
No
51%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
4.97
2-3 Goals
37%
1.95
4-5 Goals
29%
2.77
6+ Goals
14%
7.31
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1.51
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
22.7
X/1
21%
3.46
X/2
9%
19.1
X/X
11%
8.06
2/1
6%
21.85
2/2
6%
14.6
2/X
7%
22.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
72%
-16.5pp
23%
Draw
17%
+5.7pp
22%
Away Win
11%
+10.8pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+3.6pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-3.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
49%
-0.1pp
51%
BTTS No
51%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Napoli v Modena — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Napoli EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Modena EU Bookmakers 14%
-13% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.64/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.09/1.86
-26% / -56% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / -39%
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
440 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 76%
31.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 6.0
17.5 Crosses 6.0
2.1 Yellow Cards 4.0

Napoli vs Modena Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Napoli
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Modena
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
The Meetings
19.05.2007 Napoli Napoli 1-1 HT 1-1 Modena Modena İTB
22.12.2006 Modena Modena 0-0 HT 0-0 Napoli Napoli İTB
03.02.2002 Napoli Napoli 1-0 HT 1-0 Modena Modena İTB
10.09.2001 Modena Modena 4-1 HT 2-1 Napoli Napoli İTB

Napoli 0-0 Modena — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Napoli
0-0
AWAY Modena
1.37 xG 0.19
74% Ball Possession 26%
28 Total Shots 4
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
628 Passes 167
91% Pass Accuracy 69%
43 Box Touches 2
27 Crosses 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Napoli vs Modena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Napoli and Modena fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Napoli at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Napoli had 74% of the ball to Modena's 26%, shots finished 28-4, expected goals 1.37 to 0.19.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Napoli and 1.25 for Modena.

What was the final score of Napoli vs Modena?

Napoli 0-0 Modena in the Italy - Cup on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Napoli vs Modena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Napoli win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Napoli 56%, draw 23%, Modena 22%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Napoli), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Napoli) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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