Hellas Verona vs Cesena Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Hellas Verona v Cesena — Team-Based Signals
Hellas Verona vs Cesena Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 2-0
Cesena
İTB
3-3
HT 2-0
Cesena
İTA
1-1
HT 1-0
Hellas Verona
İTA
0-0
HT 0-0
Hellas Verona
İTB
1-1
HT 1-0
Cesena
İTB
0-1
HT 0-1
Hellas Verona
İTB
Hellas Verona 1-2 Cesena — Actual Match Statistics
Cesena nicked a narrow win over Hellas Verona 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Hellas Verona at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Hellas Verona had 56% of the ball to Cesena's 44%, shots finished 19-13, expected goals 1.69 to 1.68.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hellas Verona had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hellas Verona and 0.83 for Cesena.
What was the final score of Hellas Verona vs Cesena?
Hellas Verona 1-2 Cesena in the Italy - Cup on 10/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Hellas Verona vs Cesena?
Before kick-off our model rated a Hellas Verona win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Hellas Verona 45%, draw 27%, Cesena 29%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.