Carrarese 2-1 FC Bari 1908 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.38
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.6
Over 2.5
46%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.53
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
21%
4.47
6+ Goals
9%
23.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
3.63
1/2
8%
35.0
1/X
6%
12.85
X/1
8%
5.39
X/2
12%
6.32
X/X
12%
3.82
2/1
7%
32.0
2/2
13%
4.68
2/X
8%
13.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
38%
+2.6pp
26%
Draw
31%
-5.0pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.1pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Carrarese EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY FC Bari 1908 EU Bookmakers 34%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +15%
1.57/0.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.25
+2% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / +47%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
295 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
18.3 Crosses 15.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Carrarese
0W-1D-1L
AWAY FC Bari 1908
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.89 xG 1.36
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
269 Passes 440
80% Pass Accuracy 87%
20 Box Touches 21
13 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 3
29.10.2024 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 0-0 HT 0-0 Carrarese Carrarese İTB
17.07.2020 FC Bari 1908 FC Bari 1908 2-1 HT 1-0 Carrarese Carrarese İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Carrarese
2-1
AWAY FC Bari 1908
0.78 xG 1.15
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 7
240 Passes 317
78% Pass Accuracy 84%
23 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Carrarese vs FC Bari 1908
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carrarese squeezed past FC Bari 1908 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Carrarese as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Carrarese had 44% of the ball to FC Bari 1908's 56%, shots finished 11-21, expected goals 0.78 to 1.15.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, FC Bari 1908 led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Carrarese and 1.00 for FC Bari 1908.

What was the final score of Carrarese vs FC Bari 1908?

Carrarese 2-1 FC Bari 1908 in the Italy - Serie B on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Carrarese vs FC Bari 1908?

Before kick-off our model rated a Carrarese win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Carrarese 41%, draw 26%, FC Bari 1908 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Carrarese) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Carrarese) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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