Mantova 2-1 Sampdoria — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie B, 21 Feb 2026

Mantova
2 - 1 HT 0 - 1
Sampdoria
📅21/02/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Italy - Serie B – 2025/2026

Mantova vs Sampdoria Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.82
Draw
35%
2.89
Away
35%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
57%
1.69
Over
43%
2.06
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2.58
2-3
46%
1.73
4-5
19%
4.22
6+
3%
21.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.44
1/2
2%
31.0
1/X
6%
12.55
X/1
12%
6.19
X/2
14%
5.45
X/X
23%
3.76
2/1
2%
34.0
2/2
19%
3.63
2/X
6%
12.25
Our Pick = the view of our model: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a bet.

Mantova v Sampdoria — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Mantova The Market 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Sampdoria The Market 40%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.15 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.32
1.32 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.25
Strong Attack Strength Average
Weak Defense Strength Weak
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
339 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 78%
23 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19
17 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3

Mantova vs Sampdoria Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mantova
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Sampdoria
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.71 xG 1.46
63% Ball Possession 37%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
455 Passes 211
86% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Box Touches 27
15 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
02.11.2025 Sampdoria Sampdoria 0-1 HT 0-0 Mantova Mantova İTB
25.01.2025 Mantova Mantova 2-2 HT 0-2 Sampdoria Sampdoria İTB
27.10.2024 Sampdoria Sampdoria 1-0 HT 0-0 Mantova Mantova İTB

Mantova 2-1 Sampdoria — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mantova
2 - 1
AWAY Sampdoria
0.94 xG 1.18
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
258 Passes 267
71% Pass Accuracy 70%
28 Box Touches 22
17 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Mantova vs Sampdoria
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Mantova edged past Sampdoria 2-1. The 0-1 half-time score told a different story — this one turned on its head late.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 35% / 35% — and on the day Mantova made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sampdoria saw more of the ball, 51% to 49%, shots finished 11-13, expected goals 0.94 to 1.18.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.00 a game for Mantova against 1.00 for Sampdoria.

Mantova vs Sampdoria Result & Final Score

Mantova 2 - 1 Sampdoria in the Italy - Serie B on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Mantova vs Sampdoria Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated an Sampdoria win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Mantova 30%, draw 35%, Sampdoria 35%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (30/35/35) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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