Brisbane Olympic FC 2-1 Queensland Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
3.46
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
44%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.56
No
39%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
5%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
11%
2/2
26%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
25%
+7.5pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.9pp
44%
Away Win
50%
-6.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.2pp
61%
BTTS Yes
60%
+1.2pp
39%
BTTS No
40%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brisbane Olympic FC EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Queensland Lions EU Bookmakers 55%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
0.72/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.23/2.41
-80% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -22%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 405 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
9.0 Crosses 16.9
4.1 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brisbane Olympic FC
0W-0D-6L
AWAY Queensland Lions
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 0
15.08.2025 Brisbane Olympic FC Brisbane Olympic FC 0-3 HT 0-0 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVSQ
03.05.2025 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions 2-1 HT 1-0 Brisbane Olympic FC Brisbane Olympic FC AVSQ
08.06.2024 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions 3-2 HT 2-1 Brisbane Olympic FC Brisbane Olympic FC AVNPL
10.03.2024 Brisbane Olympic FC Brisbane Olympic FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVNPL
23.07.2023 Brisbane Olympic FC Brisbane Olympic FC 0-2 HT 0-0 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVSQ
23.04.2023 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions 2-1 HT 0-0 Brisbane Olympic FC Brisbane Olympic FC AVNPL
POST-MATCH Brisbane Olympic FC vs Queensland Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brisbane Olympic FC edged past Queensland Lions 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Queensland Lions at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (61%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Queensland Lions led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Brisbane Olympic FC and 2.33 for Queensland Lions.

What was the final score of Brisbane Olympic FC vs Queensland Lions?

Brisbane Olympic FC 2-1 Queensland Lions in the Australia - National Premier League on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brisbane Olympic FC vs Queensland Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated an Queensland Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Brisbane Olympic FC 33%, draw 23%, Queensland Lions 44%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Queensland Lions) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Queensland Lions) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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