Peninsula Power 1-0 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
19%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.46
No
39%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
13%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
7%
2/1
13%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
53%
+2.4pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.4pp
18%
Away Win
24%
-5.7pp
61%
BTTS Yes
64%
-3.5pp
39%
BTTS No
36%
+3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peninsula Power EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Eastern Suburbs Brisbane EU Bookmakers 28%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
2.11/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/0.42
+2% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -28%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
351 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
24.0 Crosses 30.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peninsula Power
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Eastern Suburbs Brisbane
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
2.21 xG 1.05
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
373 Passes 291
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
18 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.06.2025 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 1-2 HT 0-1 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVSQ
22.03.2025 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 1-1 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane AVSQ
13.08.2023 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 6-0 HT 3-0 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane AVNPL
06.05.2023 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 0-1 HT 0-1 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVNPL
20.07.2022 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 2-1 HT 0-1 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVSQ
02.04.2022 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 5-0 HT 0-0 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane AVSQ
POST-MATCH Peninsula Power vs Eastern Suburbs Brisbane
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peninsula Power squeezed past Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Peninsula Power as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (61%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Peninsula Power had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Peninsula Power and 0.67 for Eastern Suburbs Brisbane.

What was the final score of Peninsula Power vs Eastern Suburbs Brisbane?

Peninsula Power 1-0 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane in the Australia - National Premier League on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peninsula Power vs Eastern Suburbs Brisbane?

Before kick-off our model rated a Peninsula Power win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Peninsula Power 55%, draw 26%, Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 18%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Peninsula Power) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Peninsula Power) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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