Peninsula Power 1-1 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒12:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.47
Draw
18%
4.49
Away
22%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
30%
Over 2.5
70%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.49
No
43%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
17%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
29%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
64%
-3.7pp
18%
Draw
19%
-1.3pp
22%
Away Win
17%
+5.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
63%
-6.0pp
43%
BTTS No
37%
+6.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peninsula Power EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Eastern Suburbs Brisbane EU Bookmakers 21%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
2.21/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/2.22
+7% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / -34%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
388 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.6 Crosses 12.7
2.6 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peninsula Power
5W-0D-1L
AWAY Eastern Suburbs Brisbane
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
2.38 xG 1.34
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 10
8 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
378 Passes 310
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
18 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.08.2023 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 6-0 HT 3-0 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane AVNPL
06.05.2023 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 0-1 HT 0-1 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVNPL
20.07.2022 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 2-1 HT 0-1 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVSQ
02.04.2022 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 5-0 HT 0-0 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane AVSQ
08.10.2021 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power 3-0 HT 2-0 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane AVSQ
01.05.2021 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 1-2 HT 0-1 Peninsula Power Peninsula Power AVSQ
POST-MATCH Peninsula Power vs Eastern Suburbs Brisbane
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peninsula Power and Eastern Suburbs Brisbane couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Peninsula Power at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (57%) landed while over 2.5 goals (70%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Peninsula Power had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Peninsula Power and 0.50 for Eastern Suburbs Brisbane.

What was the final score of Peninsula Power vs Eastern Suburbs Brisbane?

Peninsula Power 1-1 Eastern Suburbs Brisbane in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peninsula Power vs Eastern Suburbs Brisbane?

Before kick-off our model rated a Peninsula Power win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Peninsula Power 60%, draw 18%, Eastern Suburbs Brisbane 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Peninsula Power), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Peninsula Power) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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