Sunshine Coast Wanderers 1-1 Queensland Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 22 Mar 2025

Sunshine Coast Wanderers
1-1 HT 1-0
Queensland Lions
📅22/03/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 ✗ 2nd Score 0-4 ✗
Australia - Queensland NPL – 2026

Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Queensland Lions Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
6.35
Draw
14%
4.95
Away
62%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.89
Over 2.5
53%
1.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.68
No
57%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
6%
2/1
7%
2/2
40%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
13%
+11.3pp
14%
Draw
17%
-2.7pp
62%
Away Win
70%
-8.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
31%
+16.0pp
53%
Over 2.5
69%
-16.1pp
43%
BTTS Yes
56%
-12.7pp
57%
BTTS No
44%
+12.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Sunshine Coast Wanderers v Queensland Lions — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sunshine Coast Wanderers EU Bookmakers 16%
Head to Head
AWAY Queensland Lions EU Bookmakers 75%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +11%
0.68/0.80 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.26/1.17
-68% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -14%
39% Ball Possession 61%
7 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
213 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 433 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
9.0 Crosses 24.5
4.7 Yellow Cards 0.8

Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Queensland Lions Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sunshine Coast Wanderers
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Queensland Lions
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
0.38 xG 1.07
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 4
315 Passes 265
71% Pass Accuracy 66%
15 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
22.06.2024 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions 4-0 HT 2-0 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers AVNPL
24.04.2024 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers 3-1 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVNPL
10.06.2023 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions 0-1 HT 0-0 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers AVNPL
04.03.2023 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers 1-1 HT 0-0 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVNPL
02.08.2022 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers 0-3 HT 0-2 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVSQ
02.04.2022 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions 6-1 HT 4-0 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers AVSQ
POST-MATCH Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Queensland Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sunshine Coast Wanderers and Queensland Lions shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Queensland Lions carried 62% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Queensland Lions led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sunshine Coast Wanderers and 2.50 for Queensland Lions.

What was the final score of Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Queensland Lions?

Sunshine Coast Wanderers 1-1 Queensland Lions in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sunshine Coast Wanderers vs Queensland Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated an Queensland Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Sunshine Coast Wanderers 24%, draw 14%, Queensland Lions 62%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Queensland Lions) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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