Queensland Lions 4-0 Sunshine Coast Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 22 Jun 2024

Queensland Lions
4-0 HT 2-0
Sunshine Coast Wanderers
📅22/06/2024 · 🕒09:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Australia - National Premier League – 2024

Queensland Lions vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.29
Draw
19%
5.28
Away
20%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
3.17
Over 2.5
63%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.63
No
46%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
18%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
13%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
73%
-12.1pp
19%
Draw
16%
+3.3pp
20%
Away Win
11%
+8.6pp
37%
Under 2.5
28%
+8.7pp
63%
Over 2.5
72%
-8.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
57%
-2.8pp
46%
BTTS No
43%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Queensland Lions v Sunshine Coast Wanderers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queensland Lions EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Sunshine Coast Wanderers EU Bookmakers 14%
-15% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +30% / +27%
2.47/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.53/3.70
-4% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +75%
57% Ball Possession 43%
18 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
415 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
20.9 Crosses 6.5
0.8 Yellow Cards 1.7

Queensland Lions vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queensland Lions
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Sunshine Coast Wanderers
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.97 xG 0.54
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 1
222 Passes 248
64% Pass Accuracy 67%
18 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
24.04.2024 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers 3-1 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVNPL
10.06.2023 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions 0-1 HT 0-0 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers AVNPL
04.03.2023 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers 1-1 HT 0-0 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVNPL
02.08.2022 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers 0-3 HT 0-2 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVSQ
02.04.2022 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions 6-1 HT 4-0 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers AVSQ
12.09.2021 Sunshine Coast Wanderers Sunshine Coast Wanderers 0-2 HT 0-0 Queensland Lions Queensland Lions AVSQ
POST-MATCH Queensland Lions vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queensland Lions cruised past Sunshine Coast Wanderers 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Queensland Lions as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (63%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Queensland Lions had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Queensland Lions and 1.00 for Sunshine Coast Wanderers.

What was the final score of Queensland Lions vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers?

Queensland Lions 4-0 Sunshine Coast Wanderers in the Australia - National Premier League on 22/06/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queensland Lions vs Sunshine Coast Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Queensland Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Queensland Lions 61%, draw 19%, Sunshine Coast Wanderers 20%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Queensland Lions), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Queensland Lions) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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