Brisbane Roar II 1-2 Moreton City Excelsior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - Queensland NPL, 22 Mar 2025

📅22/03/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
5.09
Draw
27%
4.49
Away
57%
1.46
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
Over 2.5
58%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.56
No
42%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
5%
X/2
23%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
17%
-0.7pp
27%
Draw
19%
+7.7pp
57%
Away Win
64%
-7.0pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.5pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brisbane Roar II EU Bookmakers 20%
Head to Head
AWAY Moreton City Excelsior EU Bookmakers 69%
-30% / -30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +33% / +33%
0.53/3.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/1.00
-33% / -39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / -16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 5
289 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
8.3 Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brisbane Roar II
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Moreton City Excelsior
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
02.06.2024 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II 1-3 HT 1-3 Moreton City Excelsior Moreton City Excelsior AVNPL
02.03.2024 Moreton City Excelsior Moreton City Excelsior 3-2 HT 0-1 Brisbane Roar II Brisbane Roar II AVNPL
POST-MATCH Brisbane Roar II vs Moreton City Excelsior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Moreton City Excelsior edged past Brisbane Roar II 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Moreton City Excelsior as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Moreton City Excelsior led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Brisbane Roar II and 3.00 for Moreton City Excelsior.

What was the final score of Brisbane Roar II vs Moreton City Excelsior?

Brisbane Roar II 1-2 Moreton City Excelsior in the Australia - Queensland NPL on 22/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brisbane Roar II vs Moreton City Excelsior?

Before kick-off our model rated an Moreton City Excelsior win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Brisbane Roar II 16%, draw 27%, Moreton City Excelsior 57%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Moreton City Excelsior), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Moreton City Excelsior) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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