Weston Bears 4-1 Newcastle Olympic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.9
Draw
18%
3.72
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
Over 2.5
56%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.43
No
46%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
6%
2/1
9%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
48%
+0.7pp
17%
Draw
23%
-6.0pp
33%
Away Win
28%
+5.2pp
54%
BTTS Yes
66%
-11.3pp
46%
BTTS No
34%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Weston Bears EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Newcastle Olympic EU Bookmakers 32%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
2.45/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.83
+23% / +32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
307 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 367 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Weston Bears
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Newcastle Olympic
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
21 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
06.08.2025 Weston Bears Weston Bears 5-1 HT 3-1 Newcastle Olympic Newcastle Olympic AVNPL
23.02.2025 Newcastle Olympic Newcastle Olympic 2-2 HT 0-2 Weston Bears Weston Bears AVNPL
03.08.2024 Newcastle Olympic Newcastle Olympic 1-2 HT 0-2 Weston Bears Weston Bears AVNPL
10.03.2024 Weston Bears Weston Bears 0-1 HT 0-0 Newcastle Olympic Newcastle Olympic AVNPL
17.06.2023 Newcastle Olympic Newcastle Olympic 0-3 HT 0-2 Weston Bears Weston Bears AVNSW
25.03.2023 Weston Bears Weston Bears 1-1 HT 0-1 Newcastle Olympic Newcastle Olympic AVNPL
POST-MATCH Weston Bears vs Newcastle Olympic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Weston Bears cruised past Newcastle Olympic 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Weston Bears as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Weston Bears had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Weston Bears and 1.00 for Newcastle Olympic.

What was the final score of Weston Bears vs Newcastle Olympic?

Weston Bears 4-1 Newcastle Olympic in the Australia - National Premier League on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Weston Bears vs Newcastle Olympic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Weston Bears win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Weston Bears 49%, draw 17%, Newcastle Olympic 33%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Weston Bears), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Weston Bears) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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