Canberra United (K) 3-0 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒08:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.57
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
19%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
42%
2.0
Over 2.5
58%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.81
No
45%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
4%
X/X
11%
2/1
14%
2/2
11%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
59%
-1.7pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.3pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.5pp
42%
Under 2.5
46%
-4.0pp
58%
Over 2.5
54%
+4.0pp
55%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.1pp
45%
BTTS No
49%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Canberra United (K) EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY W. Sydney Wanderers (K) EU Bookmakers 21%
+24% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -18% / -18%
0.89/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.39
+35% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -45% / +4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
372 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.7
10.0 Crosses 13.1
0.0 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Canberra United (K)
2W-2D-2L
AWAY W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.52 xG 1.84
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 19
5 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
242 Passes 285
68% Pass Accuracy 74%
20 Box Touches 23
17 Crosses 21
1 Yellow Cards 1
03.01.2026 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 1-1 HT 0-1 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW
19.04.2025 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 1-3 HT 0-1 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW
18.01.2025 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 1-0 HT 1-0 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) AVUSTW
13.03.2024 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 4-1 HT 3-1 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) AVUSTW
09.03.2024 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 1-1 HT 0-0 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) AVUSTW
26.12.2019 Canberra United (K) Canberra United (K) 0-4 HT 0-1 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) W. Sydney Wanderers (K) AVUSTW
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Canberra United (K)
3-0
AWAY W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
67% Ball Possession 33%
21 Total Shots 3
14 Shots on Target 2
12 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Canberra United (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Canberra United (K) cruised past W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Canberra United (K) as the likeliest winner at 58%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (58%) landed while both teams to score (55%) missed.

On the day, Canberra United (K) had 67% of the ball to W. Sydney Wanderers (K)'s 33%, shots finished 21-3.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Canberra United (K) and 1.83 for W. Sydney Wanderers (K).

What was the final score of Canberra United (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K)?

Canberra United (K) 3-0 W. Sydney Wanderers (K) in the Australia - W-League on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Canberra United (K) vs W. Sydney Wanderers (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Canberra United (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Canberra United (K) 58%, draw 23%, W. Sydney Wanderers (K) 19%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Canberra United (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Canberra United (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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21 Feb 2026
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