Dender EH 1-4 St. Truidense — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.99
Draw
23%
3.35
Away
46%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.9
Over 2.5
55%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.26
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✓
25%
3.38
6+ Goals
12%
12.95
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.38 — our 25% vs market 23.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.96
1/2 EV+ ✗
12%
24.35
1/X
7%
13.6
X/1
11%
6.87
X/2
22%
4.83
X/X
11%
4.75
2/1
5%
33.5
2/2
12%
2.88
2/X
5%
13.0
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.35 — our 12% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Over 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
29%
+1.6pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.1pp
46%
Away Win
45%
+1.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
49%
-3.8pp
55%
Over 2.5
51%
+3.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.7pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dender EH EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY St. Truidense EU Bookmakers 49%
+8% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +11%
1.25/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.16/0.81
+1% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +8%
45% Ball Possession 55%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
292 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 412 · 82%
22.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 32.5
21.3 Crosses 19.2
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dender EH
3W-1D-1L
AWAY St. Truidense
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.40
1.09 xG 2.04
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
321 Passes 365
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 19
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.08.2025 St. Truidense St. Truidense 2-0 HT 1-0 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
08.02.2025 Dender EH Dender EH 2-1 HT 1-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
17.08.2024 St. Truidense St. Truidense 3-3 HT 2-1 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
16.02.2008 St. Truidense St. Truidense 1-2 HT 0-0 Dender EH Dender EH BEL
01.09.2007 Dender EH Dender EH 1-0 HT 0-0 St. Truidense St. Truidense BEL
POST-MATCH Dender EH vs St. Truidense
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. Truidense cruised past Dender EH 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had St. Truidense as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Dender EH had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Dender EH and 1.40 for St. Truidense.

What was the final score of Dender EH vs St. Truidense?

Dender EH 1-4 St. Truidense in the Belgium - Pro League on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dender EH vs St. Truidense?

Before kick-off our model rated an St. Truidense win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Dender EH 31%, draw 23%, St. Truidense 46%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (St. Truidense), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (St. Truidense) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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