Club Brugge 2-1 OH Leuven — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belgium - Pro League, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒20:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.34
Draw
17%
4.62
Away
16%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.43
Over 2.5
61%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.76
No
43%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
20%
4.81
2-3 Goals
39%
1.92
4-5 Goals
29%
2.67
6+ Goals
12%
6.86
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.81 — our 20% vs market 15.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
31%
1.58
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
6%
18.0
X/1
26%
3.92
X/2
4%
15.5
X/X
6%
7.47
2/1
10%
20.1
2/2
8%
12.45
2/X
5%
20.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Club Brugge win — 67%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
70%
-2.4pp
17%
Draw
18%
-1.1pp
16%
Away Win
12%
+3.5pp
39%
Under 2.5
38%
+1.5pp
61%
Over 2.5
62%
-1.4pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+4.7pp
42%
BTTS No
47%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Club Brugge EU Bookmakers 75%
Head to Head
AWAY OH Leuven EU Bookmakers 16%
-2% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
2.32/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/2.24
+9% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
418 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 297 · 75%
39.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.6
22.7 Crosses 14.7
1.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Club Brugge
6W-0D-0L
AWAY OH Leuven
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.67 xG 0.87
59% Ball Possession 41%
16 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 4
508 Passes 276
88% Pass Accuracy 81%
39 Box Touches 22
22 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.12.2025 OH Leuven OH Leuven 1-2 HT 0-1 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEK
18.10.2025 OH Leuven OH Leuven 0-1 HT 0-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
08.02.2025 Club Brugge Club Brugge 1-0 HT 1-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
07.01.2025 Club Brugge Club Brugge 3-0 HT 1-0 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEK
02.11.2024 OH Leuven OH Leuven 0-1 HT 0-0 Club Brugge Club Brugge BEL
10.03.2024 Club Brugge Club Brugge 3-1 HT 1-1 OH Leuven OH Leuven BEL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Club Brugge
2-1
AWAY OH Leuven
3.48 xG 1.63
64% Ball Possession 36%
21 Total Shots 12
10 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 4
460 Passes 225
87% Pass Accuracy 75%
47 Box Touches 16
33 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Club Brugge vs OH Leuven
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Club Brugge nicked a narrow win over OH Leuven 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Club Brugge as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, Club Brugge had 64% of the ball to OH Leuven's 36%, shots finished 21-12, expected goals 3.48 to 1.63 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Club Brugge's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Club Brugge had the better of it with 6 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Club Brugge and 0.33 for OH Leuven.

What was the final score of Club Brugge vs OH Leuven?

Club Brugge 2-1 OH Leuven in the Belgium - Pro League on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Club Brugge vs OH Leuven?

Before kick-off our model rated a Club Brugge win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Club Brugge 67%, draw 17%, OH Leuven 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Club Brugge), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Club Brugge) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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