ThespaKusatsu Gunma 1-1 Montedio Yamagata — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.29
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
45%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.8
Over 2.5
46%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.81
No
50%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2.91
2-3 Goals
46%
1.71
4-5 Goals
19%
3.58
6+ Goals
10%
15.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
12%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
25%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
27%
+1.6pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.7pp
45%
Away Win
47%
-2.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.6pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ThespaKusatsu Gunma EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Montedio Yamagata EU Bookmakers 51%
-38% / -38% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
240 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.0 Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ThespaKusatsu Gunma
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Montedio Yamagata
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
38% Ball Possession 62%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 8
244 Passes 560
84% Pass Accuracy 85%
26 Crosses 22
1 Yellow Cards 1
14.09.2024 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 4-1 HT 2-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
02.06.2024 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 0-0 HT 0-0 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
29.10.2023 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 2-1 HT 0-0 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
12.03.2023 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma 1-0 HT 1-0 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata JAP2
23.07.2022 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 0-1 HT 0-1 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JAP2
01.06.2022 Montedio Yamagata Montedio Yamagata 1-3 HT 1-2 ThespaKusatsu Gunma ThespaKusatsu Gunma JPK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ThespaKusatsu Gunma
1-1
AWAY Montedio Yamagata
58% Ball Possession 42%
22 Total Shots 9
13 Shots on Target 6
12 Corners 4
FAQ ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Montedio Yamagata
Match summary & frequently asked questions

ThespaKusatsu Gunma and Montedio Yamagata shared the points in a 1-1 draw in the JAP2-3 on 21 Feb 2026. Half-time: 0-1.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, ThespaKusatsu Gunma had 58% of the ball to Montedio Yamagata's 42%, shots finished 22-9.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, ThespaKusatsu Gunma have the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for ThespaKusatsu Gunma and 1.17 for Montedio Yamagata.

What was the final score of ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Montedio Yamagata?

ThespaKusatsu Gunma 1-1 Montedio Yamagata in the JAP2-3 on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ThespaKusatsu Gunma vs Montedio Yamagata?

Before kick-off our model rated an Montedio Yamagata win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split ThespaKusatsu Gunma 29%, draw 26%, Montedio Yamagata 45%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Montedio Yamagata) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Montedio Yamagata) ✓ Under 2.5
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