Warrenpoint Town 5-2 Dundela — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
22%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.1
Over 2.5
45%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.63
No
54%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.89
2-3 Goals
46%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
2.88
6+ Goals
8%
8.89
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.89 — our 26% vs market 19.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
24%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
53%
+0.4pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.2pp
22%
Away Win
22%
+0.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
44%
+11.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
56%
-11.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
57%
-10.7pp
54%
BTTS No
43%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Warrenpoint Town EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Dundela EU Bookmakers 25%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -9%
1.51/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.87
-23% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +3%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
439 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Warrenpoint Town
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Dundela
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
22.11.2025 Dundela Dundela 3-2 HT 1-0 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town KİRL1
08.04.2023 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town 1-1 HT 0-1 Dundela Dundela KİRL1
04.03.2023 Dundela Dundela 2-1 HT 1-0 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town KİRL1
21.07.2018 Dundela Dundela 4-0 HT 4-0 Warrenpoint Town Warrenpoint Town HAZ
POST-MATCH Warrenpoint Town vs Dundela
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Warrenpoint Town cruised past Dundela 5-2. Half-time: 4-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Warrenpoint Town as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Dundela led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Warrenpoint Town and 2.50 for Dundela.

What was the final score of Warrenpoint Town vs Dundela?

Warrenpoint Town 5-2 Dundela in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Warrenpoint Town vs Dundela?

Before kick-off our model rated a Warrenpoint Town win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Warrenpoint Town 54%, draw 24%, Dundela 22%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Warrenpoint Town) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Warrenpoint Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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