Armagh City 1-2 Newington Youth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
13%
12.23
Draw
11%
6.26
Away
76%
1.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
32%
3.68
Over 2.5
68%
1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.85
No
39%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
16%
8.34
2-3 Goals
35%
2.34
4-5 Goals
27%
2.25
6+ Goals
22%
3.53
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
3%
1/2
5%
1/X
3%
X/1
6%
X/2
30%
X/X
4%
2/1
4%
2/2
41%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
13%
Home Win
6%
+7.4pp
11%
Draw
13%
-2.2pp
75%
Away Win
81%
-5.2pp
32%
Under 2.5
24%
+8.2pp
68%
Over 2.5
76%
-8.2pp
61%
BTTS Yes
50%
+11.3pp
39%
BTTS No
50%
-11.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Armagh City EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Newington Youth EU Bookmakers 85%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
0.51/4.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/1.00
-63% / -50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +36% / +10%
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 8
239 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 509 · 85%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Armagh City
1W-1D-3L
AWAY Newington Youth
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
18.10.2025 Newington Youth Newington Youth 5-1 HT 2-1 Armagh City Armagh City KİRL1
16.09.2025 Armagh City Armagh City 2-4 HT 2-2 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
05.04.2025 Armagh City Armagh City 3-3 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
15.02.2025 Newington Youth Newington Youth 2-3 Armagh City Armagh City KİRL1
05.10.2024 Armagh City Armagh City 0-1 Newington Youth Newington Youth KİRL1
POST-MATCH Armagh City vs Newington Youth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newington Youth edged past Armagh City 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Newington Youth as the likeliest winner at 75%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (68%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Newington Youth led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Armagh City and 3.00 for Newington Youth.

What was the final score of Armagh City vs Newington Youth?

Armagh City 1-2 Newington Youth in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Armagh City vs Newington Youth?

Before kick-off our model rated an Newington Youth win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Armagh City 13%, draw 11%, Newington Youth 75%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Newington Youth), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Newington Youth) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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