Queens University 2-2 Ards FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.53
Draw
18%
3.35
Away
39%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.61
No
53%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.46
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
25%
3.1
6+ Goals
10%
10.8
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
5%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
27%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
36%
+7.5pp
18%
Draw
26%
-8.1pp
39%
Away Win
38%
+0.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+0.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-0.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.0pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Queens University EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Ards FC EU Bookmakers 42%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -17%
1.55/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.90/1.53
+0% / +88% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
312 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 275 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Queens University
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Ards FC
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
18.10.2025 Queens University Queens University 1-0 HT 0-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
16.09.2025 Ards FC Ards FC 2-3 HT 1-1 Queens University Queens University KİRL1
29.01.2022 Queens University Queens University 2-1 HT 1-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
20.08.2021 Ards FC Ards FC 3-0 HT 1-0 Queens University Queens University KİRL1
05.10.2019 Ards FC Ards FC 3-2 HT 1-1 Queens University Queens University KİRL1
POST-MATCH Queens University vs Ards FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Queens University and Ards FC couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 43% / 18% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Queens University had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Queens University and 1.80 for Ards FC.

What was the final score of Queens University vs Ards FC?

Queens University 2-2 Ards FC in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Queens University vs Ards FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Queens University win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Queens University 43%, draw 18%, Ards FC 39%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Queens University), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Queens University) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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