Birkirkara 0-3 Zabbar St. Patrick — Result, Statistics & Match Review — MALTP, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.9
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
18%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.54
Over 2.5
49%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.09
No
52%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
7%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
48%
+6.4pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.7pp
18%
Away Win
24%
-5.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
61%
-10.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
39%
+10.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.4pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Birkirkara EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Zabbar St. Patrick EU Bookmakers 27%
+32% / +32% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -34% / -34%
3.36/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.89
+148% / +122% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / -28%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
273 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Birkirkara
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Zabbar St. Patrick
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
5 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 5
03.10.2025 Zabbar St. Patrick Zabbar St. Patrick 0-2 HT 0-1 Birkirkara Birkirkara MLTP
23.02.2025 Zabbar St. Patrick Zabbar St. Patrick 0-3 HT 0-1 Birkirkara Birkirkara MALTP
23.08.2024 Birkirkara Birkirkara 1-0 HT 1-0 Zabbar St. Patrick Zabbar St. Patrick MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Birkirkara
0-3
AWAY Zabbar St. Patrick
57% Ball Possession 43%
5 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Birkirkara vs Zabbar St. Patrick
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zabbar St. Patrick ran out comfortable winners over Birkirkara 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Birkirkara carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Birkirkara had 57% of the ball to Zabbar St. Patrick's 43%, shots finished 5-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Birkirkara had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Birkirkara and 0.00 for Zabbar St. Patrick.

What was the final score of Birkirkara vs Zabbar St. Patrick?

Birkirkara 0-3 Zabbar St. Patrick in the MALTP on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Birkirkara vs Zabbar St. Patrick?

Before kick-off our model rated a Birkirkara win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Birkirkara 55%, draw 27%, Zabbar St. Patrick 18%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Birkirkara), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Birkirkara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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