Tarxien Rainbows 1-2 Naxxar Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — MALTP, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
3.29
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
45%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.7
No
55%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
15%
X/2
14%
X/X
18%
2/1
6%
2/2
26%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
27%
+0.7pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.1pp
45%
Away Win
47%
-1.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+7.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-7.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
55%
-9.6pp
55%
BTTS No
45%
+9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tarxien Rainbows EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Naxxar Lions EU Bookmakers 50%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
305 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tarxien Rainbows
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Naxxar Lions
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
41% Ball Possession 59%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
11.01.2026 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions 1-0 HT 0-0 Tarxien Rainbows Tarxien Rainbows MLTP
16.09.2025 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions 2-3 HT 1-1 Tarxien Rainbows Tarxien Rainbows MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tarxien Rainbows
1-2
AWAY Naxxar Lions
44% Ball Possession 56%
7 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tarxien Rainbows vs Naxxar Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naxxar Lions squeezed past Tarxien Rainbows 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Naxxar Lions as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Tarxien Rainbows had 44% of the ball to Naxxar Lions's 56%, shots finished 7-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Tarxien Rainbows and 1.50 for Naxxar Lions.

What was the final score of Tarxien Rainbows vs Naxxar Lions?

Tarxien Rainbows 1-2 Naxxar Lions in the MALTP on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tarxien Rainbows vs Naxxar Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated an Naxxar Lions win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Tarxien Rainbows 28%, draw 27%, Naxxar Lions 45%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Naxxar Lions) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Naxxar Lions) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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