Radnik Surdulica 2-1 Napredak Krusevac — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Serbia - Super League, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.49
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
17%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.74
Over 2.5
45%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.13
No
55%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
40%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
63%
-2.8pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.3pp
17%
Away Win
15%
+2.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
54%
+1.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
46%
-1.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
43%
+2.7pp
55%
BTTS No
57%
-2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radnik Surdulica EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Napredak Krusevac EU Bookmakers 18%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +0%
1.16/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.47
-23% / +134% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +3%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
344 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 268 · 73%
20.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.5
18.4 Crosses 15.1
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radnik Surdulica
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Napredak Krusevac
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.38 xG 0.78
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
208 Passes 258
66% Pass Accuracy 72%
20 Box Touches 25
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.09.2025 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 1-3 HT 1-3 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica SIRP
14.04.2024 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 0-2 HT 0-1 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica SIRP
11.11.2023 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica 1-2 HT 0-1 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
30.04.2023 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 0-1 HT 0-0 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica SIRP
12.04.2023 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica 1-0 HT 1-0 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac SIRP
15.10.2022 Napredak Krusevac Napredak Krusevac 1-0 HT 0-0 Radnik Surdulica Radnik Surdulica SIRP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radnik Surdulica
2-1
AWAY Napredak Krusevac
2.80 xG 0.75
66% Ball Possession 34%
20 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
420 Passes 185
83% Pass Accuracy 69%
46 Box Touches 17
36 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
FAQ Radnik Surdulica vs Napredak Krusevac
Match summary & frequently asked questions

Radnik Surdulica edged past Napredak Krusevac 2-1 in the Serbia - Super League on 21 Feb 2026. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 45% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Radnik Surdulica had 66% of the ball to Napredak Krusevac's 34%, shots finished 20-5, expected goals 2.80 to 0.75.

Across their last 6 meetings in our records, Radnik Surdulica have the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Radnik Surdulica and 0.67 for Napredak Krusevac.

What was the final score of Radnik Surdulica vs Napredak Krusevac?

Radnik Surdulica 2-1 Napredak Krusevac in the Serbia - Super League on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radnik Surdulica vs Napredak Krusevac?

Before kick-off our model rated a Radnik Surdulica win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Radnik Surdulica 60%, draw 23%, Napredak Krusevac 17%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Radnik Surdulica) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Radnik Surdulica) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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