Bouchamma 1-4 Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
21%
2.84
Draw
39%
2.83
Away
40%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
Over 2.5
37%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.19
No
55%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
5%
X/2
17%
X/X
24%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
21%
Home Win
32%
-10.5pp
39%
Draw
32%
+6.7pp
40%
Away Win
36%
+3.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.9pp
55%
BTTS No
58%
-2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bouchamma EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer EU Bookmakers 40%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
0.51/0.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/0.74
-54% / +101% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +44% / +31%
48% Ball Possession 52%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
306 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bouchamma
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 5
22.10.2025 Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer 2-0 HT 1-0 Bouchamma TUN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bouchamma
1-4
AWAY Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Bouchamma vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer ran out comfortable winners over Bouchamma 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 21% / 39% / 40% — and on the day Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bouchamma had 50% of the ball to Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer's 50%, shots finished 8-10.

What was the final score of Bouchamma vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer?

Bouchamma 1-4 Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bouchamma vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer?

Before kick-off our model rated an Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Bouchamma 21%, draw 39%, Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer 40%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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