AS Ariana 0-2 Stade Gabesien — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
25%
2.94
Away
43%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
Over 2.5
40%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.16
No
56%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
16%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
34%
-1.2pp
25%
Draw
30%
-5.8pp
43%
Away Win
36%
+7.0pp
44%
BTTS Yes
42%
+2.1pp
56%
BTTS No
58%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AS Ariana EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Gabesien EU Bookmakers 39%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +8%
1.06/0.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.27/1.40
-6% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +135% / -34%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
288 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AS Ariana
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Stade Gabesien
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
12.11.2025 Stade Gabesien Stade Gabesien 2-1 HT 2-0 AS Ariana TUN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AS Ariana
0-2
AWAY Stade Gabesien
37% Ball Possession 63%
7 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 8
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AS Ariana vs Stade Gabesien
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stade Gabesien beat AS Ariana 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Stade Gabesien as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, AS Ariana had 37% of the ball to Stade Gabesien's 63%, shots finished 7-17.

What was the final score of AS Ariana vs Stade Gabesien?

AS Ariana 0-2 Stade Gabesien in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AS Ariana vs Stade Gabesien?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stade Gabesien win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split AS Ariana 33%, draw 25%, Stade Gabesien 43%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stade Gabesien), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stade Gabesien) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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