EGS Gafsa 0-1 Kasserine — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 21 Feb 2026

📅21/02/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
32%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
Over 2.5
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.27
No
58%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
49%
-6.5pp
25%
Draw
30%
-4.2pp
32%
Away Win
22%
+10.7pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.8pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME EGS Gafsa EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Kasserine EU Bookmakers 25%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.56/0.11 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.70/0.77
+12% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +75%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
362 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 3.9
POST-MATCH EGS Gafsa vs Kasserine
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kasserine squeezed past EGS Gafsa 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was EGS Gafsa at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of EGS Gafsa vs Kasserine?

EGS Gafsa 0-1 Kasserine in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 21/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for EGS Gafsa vs Kasserine?

Before kick-off our model rated a EGS Gafsa win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split EGS Gafsa 42%, draw 25%, Kasserine 32%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (EGS Gafsa) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (EGS Gafsa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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