Mainz 05 II 0-1 Steinbach — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 21 Mar 2025

📅21/03/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.53
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
39%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.56
No
51%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
20%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
36%
-0.4pp
26%
Draw
25%
+0.6pp
39%
Away Win
39%
-0.2pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+4.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-4.9pp
49%
BTTS Yes
60%
-11.3pp
51%
BTTS No
40%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mainz 05 II EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Steinbach EU Bookmakers 43%
-13% / -21% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -7%
1.13/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.27
-23% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
305 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mainz 05 II
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Steinbach
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
43% Ball Possession 57%
8 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 3
14.09.2024 Steinbach Steinbach 2-1 HT 1-0 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
16.12.2023 Steinbach Steinbach 4-4 HT 2-4 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
20.08.2023 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 3-0 HT 0-0 Steinbach Steinbach ALMBÖL
03.12.2022 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 1-1 HT 0-0 Steinbach Steinbach ALMBÖL
13.08.2022 Steinbach Steinbach 0-1 HT 0-1 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
14.12.2021 Steinbach Steinbach 1-0 HT 1-0 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Mainz 05 II vs Steinbach
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Steinbach squeezed past Mainz 05 II 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (35% / 26% / 39%) promised a tight game; Steinbach found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Mainz 05 II and 1.33 for Steinbach.

What was the final score of Mainz 05 II vs Steinbach?

Mainz 05 II 0-1 Steinbach in the Germany - Regional League on 21/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mainz 05 II vs Steinbach?

Before kick-off our model rated an Steinbach win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Mainz 05 II 35%, draw 26%, Steinbach 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Steinbach), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Steinbach) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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