Rot-Weiss Erfurt 4-1 Hertha Berlin II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 21 Mar 2025

📅21/03/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.9
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
26%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.07
Over 2.5
55%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.63
No
49%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-0.1pp
25%
Draw
25%
+0.3pp
26%
Away Win
26%
-0.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+0.4pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-0.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.8pp
49%
BTTS No
43%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rot-Weiss Erfurt EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Hertha Berlin II EU Bookmakers 30%
+0% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -6%
2.34/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/2.11
+31% / +22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -21%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
316 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rot-Weiss Erfurt
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Hertha Berlin II
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
20.08.2024 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II 2-1 HT 2-0 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
03.05.2024 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II 1-0 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
25.11.2023 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 0-2 HT 0-2 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II ALMBÖL
17.03.2023 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II 0-1 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
08.10.2022 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt 2-1 HT 0-1 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II ALMBÖL
29.11.2019 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II 0-0 HT 0-0 Rot-Weiss Erfurt Rot-Weiss Erfurt ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Hertha Berlin II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rot-Weiss Erfurt ran out comfortable winners over Hertha Berlin II 4-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rot-Weiss Erfurt as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hertha Berlin II led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Rot-Weiss Erfurt and 1.00 for Hertha Berlin II.

What was the final score of Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Hertha Berlin II?

Rot-Weiss Erfurt 4-1 Hertha Berlin II in the Germany - Regional League on 21/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Hertha Berlin II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rot-Weiss Erfurt win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Rot-Weiss Erfurt 48%, draw 25%, Hertha Berlin II 26%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rot-Weiss Erfurt), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rot-Weiss Erfurt) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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