Union Santa Fe 0-1 Racing Club — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 21 Mar 2025

Union Santa Fe
0-1 HT 0-0
Racing Club
📅21/03/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2025

Union Santa Fe vs Racing Club Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.67
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
33%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.54
Over 2.5
42%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.26
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
17%
4.79
6+ Goals
9%
28.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
4.37
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
6%
13.9
X/1
12%
5.72
X/2
12%
5.26
X/X
12%
3.7
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
15%
3.84
2/X
10%
13.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 58% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
34%
+5.2pp
28%
Draw
30%
-2.6pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
61%
-2.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
39%
+2.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.6pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Union Santa Fe v Racing Club — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Racing Club EU Bookmakers 40%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.18/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.13
-15% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / -16%
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
275 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 78%
21.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.2
26.6 Crosses 17.5
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.9

Union Santa Fe vs Racing Club Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Union Santa Fe
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Racing Club
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.92 xG 1.16
40% Ball Possession 60%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
206 Passes 381
69% Pass Accuracy 80%
22 Box Touches 20
24 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
28.07.2024 Racing Club Racing Club 2-1 HT 1-0 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
28.01.2024 Racing Club Racing Club 0-1 HT 0-1 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
19.08.2023 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 1-1 HT 0-1 Racing Club Racing Club ARJ
18.03.2023 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 1-3 HT 0-1 Racing Club Racing Club ARJ
26.09.2022 Racing Club Racing Club 2-1 HT 0-0 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
17.04.2022 Racing Club Racing Club 1-0 HT 1-0 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ

Union Santa Fe 0-1 Racing Club — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Santa Fe
0-1
AWAY Racing Club
2.53 xG 0.29
73% Ball Possession 27%
34 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 1
386 Passes 108
83% Pass Accuracy 59%
44 Box Touches 11
30 Crosses 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Union Santa Fe vs Racing Club
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Club squeezed past Union Santa Fe 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Racing Club found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Union Santa Fe had 73% of the ball to Racing Club's 27%, shots finished 34-5, expected goals 2.53 to 0.29 — on chances, Union Santa Fe could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Racing Club led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Union Santa Fe and 1.50 for Racing Club.

What was the final score of Union Santa Fe vs Racing Club?

Union Santa Fe 0-1 Racing Club in the Argentina - Premier League on 21/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Santa Fe vs Racing Club?

Before kick-off our model rated a Union Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Union Santa Fe 39%, draw 28%, Racing Club 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Union Santa Fe) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Union Santa Fe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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