Racing Club 2-1 Union Santa Fe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 28 Jul 2024

Racing Club
2-1 HT 1-0
Union Santa Fe
📅28/07/2024 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Argentina - Premier League – 2024

Racing Club vs Union Santa Fe Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.64
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
24%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.54
Over 2.5
36%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.29
No
62%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
39%
2.37
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
14%
5.09
6+ Goals
7%
31.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.37 — our 39% vs market 35.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.15
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
10%
17.0
X/1
24%
3.58
X/2
8%
10.75
X/X
14%
4.06
2/1
6%
30.5
2/2
11%
9.95
2/X
5%
18.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 64% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
57%
-9.7pp
29%
Draw
26%
+2.0pp
24%
Away Win
17%
+7.6pp
64%
Under 2.5
61%
+3.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
39%
-3.2pp
38%
BTTS Yes
40%
-2.1pp
62%
BTTS No
60%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Racing Club v Union Santa Fe — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Racing Club EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 20%
-5% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +13%
1.33/1.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.38
+2% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / +29%
63% Ball Possession 37%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
413 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 192 · 67%
25.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.4
22.4 Crosses 17.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.6

Racing Club vs Union Santa Fe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Racing Club
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Union Santa Fe
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.29 xG 1.10
62% Ball Possession 38%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
396 Passes 192
81% Pass Accuracy 68%
20 Box Touches 23
14 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
28.01.2024 Racing Club Racing Club 0-1 HT 0-1 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
19.08.2023 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 1-1 HT 0-1 Racing Club Racing Club ARJ
18.03.2023 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 1-3 HT 0-1 Racing Club Racing Club ARJ
26.09.2022 Racing Club Racing Club 2-1 HT 0-0 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
17.04.2022 Racing Club Racing Club 1-0 HT 1-0 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe ARJ
19.10.2021 Union Santa Fe Union Santa Fe 1-1 HT 0-0 Racing Club Racing Club ARJ

Racing Club 2-1 Union Santa Fe — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Racing Club
2-1
AWAY Union Santa Fe
0.54 xG 1.06
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 6
284 Passes 299
75% Pass Accuracy 75%
13 Box Touches 29
11 Crosses 34
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Racing Club vs Union Santa Fe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Racing Club edged past Union Santa Fe 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Racing Club as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Racing Club had 47% of the ball to Union Santa Fe's 53%, shots finished 10-14, expected goals 0.54 to 1.06 — on chances, Union Santa Fe could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Racing Club had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Racing Club and 0.83 for Union Santa Fe.

What was the final score of Racing Club vs Union Santa Fe?

Racing Club 2-1 Union Santa Fe in the Argentina - Premier League on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Racing Club vs Union Santa Fe?

Before kick-off our model rated a Racing Club win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Racing Club 47%, draw 29%, Union Santa Fe 24%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Racing Club) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Racing Club) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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