Rosario Central 0-1 Huracan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Argentina - Premier League, 28 Jul 2024

📅28/07/2024 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.53
Draw
33%
2.7
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
72%
1.26
Over 2.5
28%
3.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.67
No
66%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
1.67
2-3 Goals
37%
2.0
4-5 Goals
14%
9.6
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
4.17
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
9%
17.35
X/1
10%
4.69
X/2
13%
5.3
X/X
16%
2.9
2/1
9%
34.5
2/2
10%
4.92
2/X
8%
17.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 72%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 Home Win BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
36%
+1.7pp
33%
Draw
34%
-0.4pp
29%
Away Win
31%
-1.3pp
72%
Under 2.5
76%
-4.2pp
28%
Over 2.5
24%
+4.2pp
34%
BTTS Yes
33%
+0.8pp
66%
BTTS No
67%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rosario Central EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Huracan EU Bookmakers 34%
+11% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -11%
1.43/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.06
+34% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +9%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
243 · 69% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 71%
19.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
23.2 Crosses 20.0
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rosario Central
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Huracan
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.71 xG 1.12
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 12
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
273 Passes 285
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
10 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 24
4 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2024 Huracan Huracan 2-0 HT 2-0 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
07.10.2023 Rosario Central Rosario Central 1-0 HT 1-0 Huracan Huracan ARJ
21.03.2023 Huracan Huracan 0-2 HT 0-2 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
11.06.2022 Huracan Huracan 2-0 HT 1-0 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
03.05.2022 Huracan Huracan 2-1 HT 0-1 Rosario Central Rosario Central ARJ
11.12.2021 Rosario Central Rosario Central 1-4 HT 0-2 Huracan Huracan ARJ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rosario Central
0-1
AWAY Huracan
0.71 xG 1.74
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
1 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
329 Passes 317
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
15 Box Touches 20
28 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Rosario Central vs Huracan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Huracan nicked a narrow win over Rosario Central 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 33% / 29% — and on the day Huracan made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (72%), no to both teams scoring (66%) came in.

On the day, Rosario Central had 52% of the ball to Huracan's 48%, shots finished 10-10, expected goals 0.71 to 1.74.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Huracan led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Rosario Central and 1.67 for Huracan.

What was the final score of Rosario Central vs Huracan?

Rosario Central 0-1 Huracan in the Argentina - Premier League on 28/07/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rosario Central vs Huracan?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rosario Central win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Rosario Central 38%, draw 33%, Huracan 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Rosario Central) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rosario Central) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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