St. George Saints 2-1 Wollongong Wolves — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 21 Mar 2025

📅21/03/2025 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
45%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.49
No
42%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
32%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
33%
-2.7pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.1pp
45%
Away Win
42%
+2.7pp
58%
BTTS Yes
63%
-5.4pp
42%
BTTS No
37%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. George Saints EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Wollongong Wolves EU Bookmakers 46%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -15%
1.63/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.99/1.74
+2% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -16%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
283 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 19.7
Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. George Saints
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Wollongong Wolves
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
21.07.2024 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves 1-0 HT 1-0 St. George Saints St. George Saints AVNPL
13.04.2024 St. George Saints St. George Saints 2-2 HT 2-0 Wollongong Wolves Wollongong Wolves AVNPL
POST-MATCH St. George Saints vs Wollongong Wolves
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

St. George Saints edged past Wollongong Wolves 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Wollongong Wolves at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (58%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Wollongong Wolves led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for St. George Saints and 1.50 for Wollongong Wolves.

What was the final score of St. George Saints vs Wollongong Wolves?

St. George Saints 2-1 Wollongong Wolves in the Australia - National Premier League on 21/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. George Saints vs Wollongong Wolves?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wollongong Wolves win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split St. George Saints 31%, draw 25%, Wollongong Wolves 45%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Wollongong Wolves) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Wollongong Wolves) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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