Melbourne Knights 1-2 Melbourne Victory II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 21 Mar 2025

📅21/03/2025 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.19
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.49
No
41%
2.44
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
42%
-2.8pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.5pp
34%
Away Win
34%
+0.3pp
59%
BTTS Yes
63%
-3.8pp
41%
BTTS No
37%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Melbourne Knights EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Melbourne Victory II EU Bookmakers 37%
+5% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +48% / +48%
2.02/1.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/0.00
+18% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +86% /
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 3
361 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.1 Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Melbourne Knights vs Melbourne Victory II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Melbourne Victory II edged past Melbourne Knights 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 27% / 34% — and on the day Melbourne Victory II made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (59%) came in.

What was the final score of Melbourne Knights vs Melbourne Victory II?

Melbourne Knights 1-2 Melbourne Victory II in the Australia - National Premier League on 21/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Melbourne Knights vs Melbourne Victory II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Melbourne Knights win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Melbourne Knights 39%, draw 27%, Melbourne Victory II 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Melbourne Knights) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Melbourne Knights) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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