Manly United 0-1 NWS Spirit — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 21 Mar 2025

📅21/03/2025 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.47
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
37%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.95
Over 2.5
46%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.66
No
57%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+3.1pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.4pp
37%
Away Win
38%
-0.6pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.4pp
43%
BTTS Yes
56%
-13.4pp
57%
BTTS No
44%
+13.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manly United EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY NWS Spirit EU Bookmakers 42%
+17% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.70/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/0.67
+7% / +58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / -9%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
236 · 85% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
19.0 Crosses 23.5
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manly United
2W-0D-2L
AWAY NWS Spirit
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.25
1.26 xG 1.41
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
359 Passes 276
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
18 Crosses 17
5 Yellow Cards 2
03.08.2024 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit 4-2 HT 2-1 Manly United Manly United AVNPL
26.04.2024 Manly United Manly United 3-2 HT 2-1 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit AVNPL
01.07.2023 Manly United Manly United 0-2 HT 0-2 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit AVNPL
18.03.2023 NWS Spirit NWS Spirit 1-3 HT 0-1 Manly United Manly United AVNPL
POST-MATCH Manly United vs NWS Spirit
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

NWS Spirit squeezed past Manly United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 23% / 37%) promised a tight game; NWS Spirit found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (57%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Manly United and 2.25 for NWS Spirit.

What was the final score of Manly United vs NWS Spirit?

Manly United 0-1 NWS Spirit in the Australia - National Premier League on 21/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manly United vs NWS Spirit?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manly United win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Manly United 40%, draw 23%, NWS Spirit 37%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Manly United) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Manly United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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