Kanada vs Meksika Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kanada v Meksika — Team-Based Signals
Kanada vs Meksika Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-0
Meksika
DKE
1-1
HT 1-1
Kanada
DKE
2-1
HT 1-0
Kanada
GK
3-1
HT 1-0
Kanada
GK
2-0
HT 2-0
Kanada
DKE
Kanada 0-2 Meksika — Actual Match Statistics
Meksika saw off Kanada 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match split (40% / 31% / 29%) promised a tight game; Meksika found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Kanada had 57% of the ball to Meksika's 43%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 0.72 to 1.38.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Meksika led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Kanada and 1.50 for Meksika.
What was the final score of Kanada vs Meksika?
Kanada 0-2 Meksika in the CONCACAF Champions League on 21/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kanada vs Meksika?
Before kick-off our model rated a Kanada win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kanada 40%, draw 31%, Meksika 29%. The final score 0-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.