ABD vs Panama Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
ABD v Panama — Team-Based Signals
ABD vs Panama Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Panama
GK
5-1
HT 4-0
Panama
DKE
1-0
HT 0-0
ABD
DKE
6-2
HT 3-1
Panama
HAZ
ABD 0-1 Panama — Actual Match Statistics
Panama nicked a narrow win over ABD 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was ABD at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.
On the day, ABD had 67% of the ball to Panama's 33%, shots finished 12-3, expected goals 0.68 to 0.10 — the balance of chances actually favoured ABD.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, ABD had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for ABD and 1.17 for Panama.
What was the final score of ABD vs Panama?
ABD 0-1 Panama in the CONCACAF Champions League on 21/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for ABD vs Panama?
Before kick-off our model rated a ABD win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split ABD 53%, draw 26%, Panama 21%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (ABD), Over 2.5 went the other way.