Naestved 1-1 Fremad Amager — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - 2nd Division, 21 Mar 2025

📅21/03/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.8
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
30%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.52
Over 2.5
45%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.03
No
48%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.2
2-3 Goals
42%
1.73
4-5 Goals
24%
4.93
6+ Goals
6%
30.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
21%
2/1
3%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
32%
+5.8pp
32%
Draw
29%
+2.9pp
30%
Away Win
39%
-8.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
45%
+6.5pp
48%
BTTS No
55%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naestved EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Fremad Amager EU Bookmakers 43%
+43% / +43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.88/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.35
+44% / +108% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -2%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
293 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naestved
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Fremad Amager
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.84 xG 0.21
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
348 Passes 282
77% Pass Accuracy 74%
28 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 3
11.10.2024 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager 1-0 Naestved Naestved DAN2
03.02.2024 Naestved Naestved 0-3 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager HAZ
05.03.2023 Naestved Naestved 2-3 HT 1-2 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager DAN1
12.08.2022 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager 0-0 HT 0-0 Naestved Naestved DAN1
10.06.2020 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager 1-0 HT 1-0 Naestved Naestved DAN1
17.11.2019 Naestved Naestved 0-1 HT 0-0 Fremad Amager Fremad Amager DAN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Naestved
1-1
AWAY Fremad Amager
38% Ball Possession 62%
4 Total Shots 16
1 Shots on Target 8
1 Corners 9
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Naestved vs Fremad Amager
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naestved and Fremad Amager couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 32% / 30%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Naestved had 38% of the ball to Fremad Amager's 62%, shots finished 4-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fremad Amager led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Naestved and 1.50 for Fremad Amager.

What was the final score of Naestved vs Fremad Amager?

Naestved 1-1 Fremad Amager in the Denmark - 2nd Division on 21/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naestved vs Fremad Amager?

Before kick-off our model rated a Naestved win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Naestved 38%, draw 32%, Fremad Amager 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Naestved) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Naestved) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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