Maidenhead United 2-0 Dorking Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 21 Mar 2026

📅21/03/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.35
Away
31%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under
47%
1.91
Over
53%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
57%
1.68
No
43%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1
26%
3.28
2-3
38%
1.74
4-5
24%
3.23
6+
12%
11.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 57%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-1.1pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.4pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+0.7pp
47%
Under 2.5
48%
-1.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
52%
+1.2pp
57%
BTTS Yes
56%
+1.5pp
43%
BTTS No
44%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maidenhead United EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Dorking Wanderers EU Bookmakers 34%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -11%
1.74/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.41/1.48
+13% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / -3%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
279 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 308 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maidenhead United
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Dorking Wanderers
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.10.2025 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 1-0 HT 1-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İCON
09.03.2024 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 4-2 HT 3-1 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İBSL
09.12.2023 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 3-0 HT 3-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United FAK
12.08.2023 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 0-2 HT 0-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
25.03.2023 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers 3-1 HT 1-0 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United İBSL
03.12.2022 Maidenhead United Maidenhead United 1-1 HT 0-1 Dorking Wanderers Dorking Wanderers İBSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maidenhead United
2-0
AWAY Dorking Wanderers
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Maidenhead United vs Dorking Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maidenhead United saw off Dorking Wanderers 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Maidenhead United as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Maidenhead United had 46% of the ball to Dorking Wanderers's 54%, shots finished 14-13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dorking Wanderers led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Maidenhead United and 1.67 for Dorking Wanderers.

What was the final score of Maidenhead United vs Dorking Wanderers?

Maidenhead United 2-0 Dorking Wanderers in the England - Conference on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maidenhead United vs Dorking Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maidenhead United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Maidenhead United 43%, draw 27%, Dorking Wanderers 31%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maidenhead United) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Maidenhead United) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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