Spennymoor Town vs Alfreton Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Spennymoor Town v Alfreton Town — Team-Based Signals
Spennymoor Town vs Alfreton Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Spennymoor Town 1-1 Alfreton Town — Actual Match Statistics
Spennymoor Town and Alfreton Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Spennymoor Town at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
On the day, Spennymoor Town had 62% of the ball to Alfreton Town's 38%, shots finished 6-6.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spennymoor Town had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Spennymoor Town and 0.83 for Alfreton Town.
What was the final score of Spennymoor Town vs Alfreton Town?
Spennymoor Town 1-1 Alfreton Town in the England - Conference on 21/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Spennymoor Town vs Alfreton Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Spennymoor Town win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Spennymoor Town 52%, draw 24%, Alfreton Town 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Spennymoor Town) went the other way.