Spennymoor Town vs Alfreton Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Spennymoor Town v Alfreton Town — Team-Based Signals
Spennymoor Town vs Alfreton Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 3-1
Spennymoor Town
İCON
0-0
HT 0-0
Alfreton Town
İCON
Spennymoor Town 3-1 Alfreton Town — Actual Match Statistics
Spennymoor Town got the better of Alfreton Town 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Spennymoor Town as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.
On the day, Spennymoor Town had 52% of the ball to Alfreton Town's 48%, shots finished 12-9.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spennymoor Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Spennymoor Town and 0.83 for Alfreton Town.
What was the final score of Spennymoor Town vs Alfreton Town?
Spennymoor Town 3-1 Alfreton Town in the England - Conference on 18/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Spennymoor Town vs Alfreton Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Spennymoor Town win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Spennymoor Town 42%, draw 25%, Alfreton Town 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Spennymoor Town) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.