Farsley AFC 0-2 Southport — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 18 Feb 2025

📅18/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
19%
16.01
Draw
22%
6.26
Away Pick
59%
1.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
42%
2.43
Over
58%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.6
No
48%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1
23%
4.87
2-3
40%
1.91
4-5
27%
2.59
6+
10%
6.49
Value flag · 0-1 at 4.87 — our 23% vs market 14.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
13%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
37%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Southport win — 59%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
19%
Home Win
3%
+15.4pp
22%
Draw
12%
+9.8pp
59%
Away Win
84%
-25.2pp
42%
Under 2.5
38%
+4.3pp
58%
Over 2.5
62%
-4.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
34%
+17.7pp
48%
BTTS No
66%
-17.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Farsley AFC EU Bookmakers 6%
Head to Head
AWAY Southport EU Bookmakers 90%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +21%
0.83/2.34 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.00/0.00
+32% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +56% /
41% Ball Possession 59%
9 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
251 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Farsley AFC
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Southport
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.09.2024 Southport Southport 1-1 HT 0-0 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC İCON
29.03.2024 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC 0-0 HT 0-0 Southport Southport İCON
14.11.2023 Southport Southport 1-1 HT 1-1 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC İCON
12.11.2022 Southport Southport 4-0 HT 2-0 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC İCON
15.10.2022 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC 0-3 HT 0-0 Southport Southport İCON
18.04.2022 Farsley AFC Farsley AFC 2-0 HT 0-0 Southport Southport İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Farsley AFC
0-2
AWAY Southport
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 7
0 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Farsley AFC vs Southport
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Southport saw off Farsley AFC 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Southport as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Farsley AFC had 45% of the ball to Southport's 55%, shots finished 9-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Southport led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Farsley AFC and 1.50 for Southport.

What was the final score of Farsley AFC vs Southport?

Farsley AFC 0-2 Southport in the England - Conference on 18/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Farsley AFC vs Southport?

Before kick-off our model rated an Southport win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Farsley AFC 19%, draw 22%, Southport 59%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Southport) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Southport) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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