Radcliffe Borough 2-0 Chorley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 18 Feb 2025

📅18/02/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.94
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
37%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
55%
1.9
Over
45%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.7
No
51%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
31%
3.19
2-3
39%
1.74
4-5
22%
3.33
6+
8%
12.7
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.19 — our 31% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
18%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
30%
+2.6pp
30%
Draw
26%
+3.9pp
37%
Away Win
43%
-6.5pp
55%
Under 2.5
49%
+6.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
51%
-6.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.1pp
51%
BTTS No
45%
+6.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Radcliffe Borough EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Chorley EU Bookmakers 48%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -10%
1.76/2.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.21
+35% / -42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
271 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Radcliffe Borough
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Chorley
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
5 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
26.12.2024 Radcliffe Borough Radcliffe Borough 1-0 Chorley Chorley İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Radcliffe Borough
2-0
AWAY Chorley
57% Ball Possession 43%
5 Total Shots 2
3 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Radcliffe Borough vs Chorley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Radcliffe Borough saw off Chorley 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (33% / 30% / 37%) promised a tight game; Radcliffe Borough found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Radcliffe Borough had 57% of the ball to Chorley's 43%, shots finished 5-2.

What was the final score of Radcliffe Borough vs Chorley?

Radcliffe Borough 2-0 Chorley in the England - Conference on 18/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Radcliffe Borough vs Chorley?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chorley win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Radcliffe Borough 33%, draw 30%, Chorley 37%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Chorley) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chorley) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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