Alfreton Town vs Spennymoor Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alfreton Town v Spennymoor Town — Team-Based Signals
Alfreton Town vs Spennymoor Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 3-1
Spennymoor Town
İCON
0-0
HT 0-0
Alfreton Town
İCON
3-2
HT 2-1
Spennymoor Town
İCON
0-2
HT 0-1
Alfreton Town
İCON
1-1
HT 1-1
Spennymoor Town
İCON
Alfreton Town 1-0 Spennymoor Town — Actual Match Statistics
Alfreton Town squeezed past Spennymoor Town 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Alfreton Town as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.
On the day, Alfreton Town had 38% of the ball to Spennymoor Town's 62%, shots finished 10-10.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alfreton Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Alfreton Town and 1.17 for Spennymoor Town.
What was the final score of Alfreton Town vs Spennymoor Town?
Alfreton Town 1-0 Spennymoor Town in the England - FA Cup on 12/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alfreton Town vs Spennymoor Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alfreton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Alfreton Town 42%, draw 24%, Spennymoor Town 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alfreton Town), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.