Alfreton Town vs Spennymoor Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alfreton Town v Spennymoor Town — Team-Based Signals
Alfreton Town vs Spennymoor Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 3-1
Spennymoor Town
İCON
0-0
HT 0-0
Alfreton Town
İCON
3-2
HT 2-1
Spennymoor Town
İCON
0-2
HT 0-1
Alfreton Town
İCON
Alfreton Town 0-1 Spennymoor Town — Actual Match Statistics
Spennymoor Town squeezed past Alfreton Town 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Alfreton Town at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Alfreton Town had 47% of the ball to Spennymoor Town's 53%, shots finished 13-7.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alfreton Town had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Alfreton Town and 1.00 for Spennymoor Town.
What was the final score of Alfreton Town vs Spennymoor Town?
Alfreton Town 0-1 Spennymoor Town in the England - Conference on 22/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alfreton Town vs Spennymoor Town?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alfreton Town win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Alfreton Town 41%, draw 27%, Spennymoor Town 31%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Alfreton Town) went the other way.