Alfreton Town vs Spennymoor Town Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alfreton Town v Spennymoor Town — Team-Based Signals
Alfreton Town vs Spennymoor Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 3-1
Spennymoor Town
İCON
Alfreton Town 2-1 Spennymoor Town — Actual Match Statistics
Alfreton Town squeezed past Spennymoor Town 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Our pre-match lean was Spennymoor Town at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Alfreton Town had 48% of the ball to Spennymoor Town's 52%, shots finished 9-13.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Spennymoor Town led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Alfreton Town and 1.50 for Spennymoor Town.
What was the final score of Alfreton Town vs Spennymoor Town?
Alfreton Town 2-1 Spennymoor Town in the England - Conference on 11/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alfreton Town vs Spennymoor Town?
Before kick-off our model rated an Spennymoor Town win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Alfreton Town 23%, draw 32%, Spennymoor Town 45%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Spennymoor Town), Under 2.5 went the other way.