Marine 2-1 AFC Telford United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 11 Nov 2025

📅11/11/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.25
Draw
32%
3.35
Away
34%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.9
Over
46%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1
30%
3.24
2-3
38%
1.76
4-5
23%
3.39
6+
9%
12.95
Value flag · 0-1 at 3.24 — our 30% vs market 24.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
9%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
10%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
41%
-6.8pp
32%
Draw
26%
+5.6pp
34%
Away Win
33%
+1.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
49%
+5.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
51%
-5.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.9pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marine EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Telford United EU Bookmakers 37%
-5% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -30%
1.14/1.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.76
-20% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -53% / -25%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
251 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marine
2-1
AWAY AFC Telford United
46% Ball Possession 54%
19 Total Shots 14
10 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
5 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Marine vs AFC Telford United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marine squeezed past AFC Telford United 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (34% / 32% / 34%) promised a tight game; Marine found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Marine had 46% of the ball to AFC Telford United's 54%, shots finished 19-14.

What was the final score of Marine vs AFC Telford United?

Marine 2-1 AFC Telford United in the England - Conference on 11/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marine vs AFC Telford United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marine win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Marine 34%, draw 32%, AFC Telford United 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/32/34) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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