Bedford Town 3-0 Buxton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 11 Nov 2025

📅11/11/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
40%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under
43%
2.15
Over
57%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
60%
1.55
No
40%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1
24%
4.01
2-3
37%
1.83
4-5
28%
2.92
6+
11%
8.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
21%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 60%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Over 2.5 — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.0pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.6pp
40%
Away Win
41%
-0.5pp
43%
Under 2.5
43%
+0.7pp
57%
Over 2.5
57%
-0.7pp
60%
BTTS Yes
60%
-0.1pp
40%
BTTS No
40%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bedford Town EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Buxton EU Bookmakers 45%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +4%
1.80/2.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.04/1.02
+35% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +39% / +27%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
333 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bedford Town
3-0
AWAY Buxton
39% Ball Possession 61%
8 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Bedford Town vs Buxton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bedford Town swept aside Buxton 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 24% / 40% — and on the day Bedford Town made the difference. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while both teams to score (60%) missed.

On the day, Bedford Town had 39% of the ball to Buxton's 61%, shots finished 8-7.

What was the final score of Bedford Town vs Buxton?

Bedford Town 3-0 Buxton in the England - Conference on 11/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bedford Town vs Buxton?

Before kick-off our model rated an Buxton win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Bedford Town 36%, draw 24%, Buxton 40%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Buxton), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Buxton) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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