Southport vs Chester Prediction — Model Probabilities
Every market fairly priced — no value edge at these odds. Our Pick = the most likely outcome, not a value bet.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Southport v Chester — Team-Based Signals
Southport vs Chester Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Southport 2-2 Chester — Actual Match Statistics
Southport and Chester shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match lean was Chester at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Southport had 76% of the ball to Chester's 24%, shots finished 20-6.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chester led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Southport and 1.00 for Chester.
What was the final score of Southport vs Chester?
Southport 2-2 Chester in the England - Conference on 11/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Southport vs Chester?
Before kick-off our model rated an Chester win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Southport 30%, draw 28%, Chester 42%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chester), Under 2.5 went the other way.