Chester 0-0 Southport — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 1 Jan 2025

📅01/01/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
24%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
63%
1.67
Over
37%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.99
No
62%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1
34%
2.51
2-3
43%
1.71
4-5
15%
4.21
6+
8%
21.7
Value flag · 0-1 at 2.51 — our 34% vs market 32.0%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Under 2.5 — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
50%
-0.9pp
27%
Draw
25%
+2.2pp
24%
Away Win
25%
-1.3pp
63%
Under 2.5
56%
+7.2pp
37%
Over 2.5
44%
-7.2pp
38%
BTTS Yes
46%
-7.8pp
62%
BTTS No
54%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chester EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Southport EU Bookmakers 29%
+6% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.62/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.79
-1% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
319 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chester
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Southport
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
12.03.2024 Chester Chester 0-1 HT 0-0 Southport Southport İCON
24.10.2023 Southport Southport 0-2 HT 0-1 Chester Chester İCON
10.04.2023 Southport Southport 1-2 HT 0-0 Chester Chester İCON
13.09.2022 Chester Chester 1-0 HT 0-0 Southport Southport İCON
05.02.2022 Chester Chester 5-0 HT 1-0 Southport Southport İCON
30.10.2021 Southport Southport 3-2 HT 3-1 Chester Chester İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chester
0-0
AWAY Southport
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Chester vs Southport
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chester and Southport fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Chester at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Chester had 57% of the ball to Southport's 43%, shots finished 10-6.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chester had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Chester and 0.83 for Southport.

What was the final score of Chester vs Southport?

Chester 0-0 Southport in the England - Conference on 01/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chester vs Southport?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chester win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Chester 49%, draw 27%, Southport 24%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Chester) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chester) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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