Chester vs Southport Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chester v Southport — Team-Based Signals
Chester vs Southport Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-1
Chester
İCON
1-2
HT 0-0
Chester
İCON
1-0
HT 0-0
Southport
İCON
5-0
HT 1-0
Southport
İCON
3-2
HT 3-1
Chester
İCON
4-0
HT 1-0
Southport
İCON
Chester 0-1 Southport — Actual Match Statistics
Southport edged past Chester 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Chester at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Chester had 60% of the ball to Southport's 40%, shots finished 13-4.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chester had the better of it with 5 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Chester and 0.67 for Southport.
What was the final score of Chester vs Southport?
Chester 0-1 Southport in the England - Conference on 12/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chester vs Southport?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chester win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Chester 49%, draw 27%, Southport 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Chester) went the other way.